This suggests that perceptions of higher inflation along with the tighter labour market have not led to expectations for higher wage growth for workers staying in their current job.
Despite stability at the aggregate level, expectations for wage growth vary among different demographic groups. Expectations for higher wages increased to a survey high among those with a lower level of education. This may be supported by strong job gains for that group over the summer as restrictions eased. In contrast, expectations for higher wages declined modestly among people with a higher level of education.
Perceptions of wage growth over the past 12 months declined to 1. We use cookies to help us keep improving this website. Skip to content. Change theme. Search the site Search.
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Staff Economic Projections These forecasts are provided to Governing Council in preparation for monetary policy decisions. Results of the third-quarter survey Vol. Overview Consumers plan to increase their spending significantly but remain cautious because of the Delta variant.
Canadians think inflation will be higher in the near term due to supply disruptions, but they do not expect this situation to last. Inflation expectations remain well anchored. People are more willing to change jobs amid increased confidence in the labour market. However, visible minorities, Indigenous people and people with disabilities are much more likely than other Canadians to report concerns about losing their job.
Since the pandemic, Canadians attach more value to a job with suitable hours. Many respondents also indicated that they would like to work in a different industry. Canadians are not expecting significant wage gains despite recent improvements in the labour market and perceptions of higher inflation. More data and charts are available on the Canadian Survey of Consumer Expectations survey data page.
Roughly three-quarters of respondents indicated that they are willing to participate in at least a modest level of in-person activity, such as attending small gatherings. In fact, some of these respondents think that events with large groups are safe or even that no restrictions are needed. This is an increase from less than half in the previous quarter, which likely reflects most Canadians being fully vaccinated by the time of the survey and lower infection and hospitalization rates across most of the country.
Pent-up demand for some goods and services remains after long periods of restrictions. This is likely supported by extra savings. More than 40 percent of respondents reported saving more than usual during the pandemic, often because they reduced their spending. Respondents who accumulated savings intend to spend about one-third of these funds by the end of —in fact, they reported having already spent about 10 percent of their extra savings in Chart 1: Household income and spending expectations A modern browser with javascript enabled is required to view our charts.
Chart 2: Expected spending growth on high-contact services has slowed A modern browser with javascript enabled is required to view our charts. Consumers expect inflation to be temporarily higher Short-term inflation expectations have adjusted to the recent rise in inflation, but consumers think this increase in inflation will be temporary Chart 3.
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